Tau ntau xyoo lawm, kev lag luam freight tau khiav ntawm qhov kev xav tau zoo nkauj. Koj paub thaum lub caij maj mam los-rov qab- mus rau- tsev kawm ntawv, tom qab ntawd Dub Friday, ces Christmas. Koj tau npaj rau nws, koj ntiav tes ntxiv, koj tau teem lub hlis ua ntej, thiab tom qab ntawd koj ua pa kom txog thaum Lub Ib Hlis.
Tsis yog lawm.
Yog tias koj tau nyob rau hauv shipping ntev txaus, tej zaum koj twb pom tej yam txawv txawv tshwm sim nyob rau hauv ob peb xyoos dhau los. Lub "peak" tsis peaking thaum nws yuav tsum. Nws tshwm sim thaum ntxov, nyob ib puag ncig ntev dua, thiab qee zaum tsis tshwm sim thaum koj xav tau. Thiab ntau lub suab nrov ntawm kev lag luam tau pib nug cov lus nug uas yuav ua rau lub suab vwm kaum xyoo dhau los: Puas yog tag nrho lub tswv yim ntawm lub caij ncov tsuas yog… outdated?
Cov lej tsis dag
Saib seb muaj dab tsi tshwm sim nyob rau hauv transpacific thiab Asia -Europe txoj kab. Hiav txwv-Kev txawj ntse tham txog cov khoom no ze, thiab lawv tau pom tias cov nqi siab tshaj tau tuaj txog ua ntej txhua xyoo. Xyoo 2025, lub apex ntaus thawj lub lim tiam ntawm Lub Xya Hli - qhov ntxov tshaj plaws uas lawv tau sau tseg. Ua ntej muaj kev sib kis, qhov siab tshaj plaws feem ntau tsaws ntawm lub lis piam 35 thiab 37. Tam sim no? Nws tau tshwm sim nyob rau lub lim tiam 24. Qhov ntawd yog qhov hloov pauv loj heev hauv lub sijhawm luv luv.
Renee Toh, VP ntawm thoob ntiaj teb kev thauj khoom hiav txwv ntawm Rhenus, tau hais tsis ntev los no: "Lub tswv yim ntawm 'lub caij ncov' tau dhau los ua qhov qub." Nws tau taw qhia tias tsis yog ib qho kev xav tau nce ntxiv, tam sim no peb pom qhov kev thov hloov pauv hauv ntau nthwv dej thoob plaws lub xyoo, uas tau tsav los ntawm txhua yam los ntawm cov khw muag khoom mus rau thaj chaw muaj kev kub ntxhov.
Thiab nws tsis yog lub sijhawm uas hloov pauv - nws yog tus qauv tag nrho. Cov qauv qub ntawm ib qho kev nce qib Q4 tau muab txoj hauv kev rau qee qhov hu ua "dov peaks" uas txav mus thoob plaws xyoo. Ib tus neeg xa xov mus hais rau The Loadstar tias lub siab tuaj yeem ncab txhua txoj hauv kev los ntawm nruab nrab -Tsib Hlis mus rau nruab nrab-Lub Yim Hli, nrog Golden Lub Limtiam nyob ib ncig ntawm lub ces kaum kom pib lub voj voog rov qab.
Yog li dab tsi ua rau qhov no?
Ob peb yam, tiag tiag. tariff uncertainty tau thawb ntau tus importers rau pem hauv ntej - thauj khoom xa tuaj, sim ua ntej ntawm tus nqi nce ua ntej lawv ntaus. Cov khw muag khoom tau ua ntau zaus tshaj tawm cov phiaj xwm tshaj tawm-Amazon Prime Day, muag muag muag, muaj zog-tsav cov khoom lag luam nce siab- uas tsim cov kev thov nce siab sab nraum daim ntawv qhia hnub qub. Thiab tom qab ntawd muaj txheej txheej geopolitical: rerouting nyob ib ncig ntawm lub Strait ntawm Hormuz, congestion ntawm Panama Canal, thiab tag nrho cov lwm yam mov saw mob taub hau uas tau los ua tus tshiab ib txwm.
Qhov tshwm sim? Ib qho kev lag luam uas tsis tshua xav tau, tsis yooj yim dua, thiab tag nrho nyuaj rau kev npaj rau kev siv phau ntawv qub.
Qhov no txhais li cas rau cov neeg xa khoom
Yog tias koj tseem npaj koj lub xyoo nyob ib puag ncig lub caij nyoog siab tshaj plaws, koj yuav pom tias txoj kev npaj yuav tsis tuav lawm. Peev xwm yog nruj dua, tus nqi yog volatile, thiab qhov chaw tau snapped ceev ceev thaum xav tau spikes. Txoj hauv kev qub- phau ntawv ntxov, hla koj cov ntiv tes, thiab sib tw thaum txhua yam mus rau sab - tsuas yog tsis txiav nws.
Qhov ntawd yog qhov kev sib tham hloov ntawm "dab tsi tawg" mus rau "dab tsi ua haujlwm."
Vim li cas Xiamen AE Ntiaj Teb tau tsim rau qhov tseeb tshiab no
Ntawm Xiamen AE Ntiaj Teb, peb tau tso tseg tsis kho daim ntawv qhia hnub ua qhov kev tshwm sim tseem ceeb ntev dhau los. Peb yog tsoomfwv- tau ntawv tso cai, IATA, FIATA, FMC, thiab NVOCC- pom zoo tus neeg xa khoom thauj, tab sis qhov tseem ceeb tshaj, peb yog ib lub tuam txhab uas tsim los rau kev hloov pauv tau yooj yim-vim kev hloov pauv yog qhov kev lag luam xav tau.
Nrog lub network ntawm ntau tshaj 100 tus neeg sawv cev txawv teb chaws, peb lis txhua yam ntawm airfreight thiab dej hiav txwv freight mus rau kev lis kev cai clearance, warehousing, thiab project shipping. Txawm hais tias koj cov khoom thauj yuav tsum txav los ntawm hiav txwv, huab cua, lossis kev tsheb nqaj hlau, peb tau txais kev sib txuas thiab kev paub ua kom nws tshwm sim. Thiab nrog cov kws tshaj lij thoob plaws Tuam Tshoj cov chaw nres nkoj loj -Xiamen, Fuzhou, Shanghai, Ningbo, Shenzhen, thiab Guangzhou- peb tau nyob ntawm qhov chaw ua haujlwm.
Tab sis ntawm no yog ib feem tseem ceeb nyob rau niaj hnub no "tsis muaj ib yam li lub caij ncov" ib puag ncig: peb tsis tos kom maj mam pib. Peb pab neeg coj ntau tshaj kaum xyoo ntawm kev xa khoom xa tuaj rau txhua qhov kev xa khoom, thiab peb tau tsim peb txoj haujlwm nyob ib puag ncig lub tswv yim tias koj cov khoom thauj yuav tsum tsis yog qhov kev twv twv txiaj. Peb muaj peev xwm ruaj ntseg thaum ntxov, txhim kho kev siv lub thawv, thiab muab kev pom tseeb rau koj txog qhov tshwm sim nrog koj cov khoom.
Txawm hais tias koj xav tau lub qhov rooj - mus rau - qhov rooj hiav txwv freight los ntawm Tuam Tshoj mus rau Teb Chaws Asmeskas, DDU / DDP / EXW huab cua freight, los yog consolidated shipping uas muab cov khoom thauj los ntawm ntau tus neeg muag khoom rau hauv ib lub thawv, peb tswj qhov nyuaj kom koj tsis tas yuav. Peb paub txog cov ntaub ntawv, cov kev cai ntawm kev lis kev cai, thiab cov ntaub ntawv uas tuaj yeem mus txog cov neeg xa khoom tsawg dua. Thiab peb ua txhua yam nrog kev cog lus rau kev tshaj lij thiab kev ncaj ncees uas yog peb lub hauv paus txij li xyoo 2018.
Cov kab hauv qab
Lub caij ncov tsis tuag-tab sis nws yeej tsis yog qhov nws tau ua. Cov qauv qub ploj mus, thiab lawv tsis rov qab los. Cov tuam txhab uas vam meej hauv qhov chaw tshiab no yuav tsis yog cov uas muaj sia nyob Christmas; lawv yuav yog cov uas npaj txhij rau txhua yam, txhua lub sijhawm.
Ntawm Xiamen AE Ntiaj Teb, peb tau npaj txij hnub ib. Peb tsis tsuas yog txav cov khoom thauj xwb-peb txav nws ntse, ntseeg tau, thiab ntawm koj cov ntsiab lus, txawm tias thaum twg "peak" txiav txim siab los tshwm.
Npaj xa khoom ntse dua?Hu rau peb hnub no rau tus kheej cov lus hais, thiab cia koj cov khoom txav mus los - yam tsis muaj kev kwv yees.
